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Data Scientist Manager - Measurement & Quantitative Forecasting

Open AI

Salary not specified
Oct 9, 2025
San Francisco, CA, US
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OpenAI's Intelligence & Investigations (I2) team needs to establish a user-risk measurement function to understand how users interact with frontier AI and the impact of safety mitigations. This involves creating policy-grounded baselines, confidence intervals, and attribution to inform executive decisions and product direction.

Requirements

  • Have 7+ years in data science, measurement/causal inference, forecasting, modeling, or risk analytics in high-stakes domains
  • Have deep strength in sampling, inference, probability sampling, time series data, backtesting, parametric/non-parametric modeling approaches, and imputation, and uncertainty for rare-event estimation; comfort with time-varying metrics and survival analysis
  • Write strong Python and SQL; are fluent with modern warehouses and notebook-to-production workflows; communicate crisply to executives and engineers
  • Bring experience in integrity/fraud/safety or adjacent high-stakes analytics; have led multiple complex workstreams and mentored senior peers
  • Experience in managing data scientists, quantitative analysts or similar
  • Balance near-term execution with long-term vision; raise analytical standards and create clarity across teams
  • Bonus: Familiarity with Airflow

Responsibilities

  • Define the measurement and forecasting strategy and operating model; align policy-grounded definitions, governance, and quality bars across partners
  • Build user-level baselines and confidence intervals for rare-event harms using principled sampling and inference; institute stability and drift checks
  • Ship executive-grade reporting: dashboard tiles, weekly 1-pagers, monthly deep dives, and launch/post-launch readouts that drive action
  • Implement mitigation attribution and change-tracking; back-test launches and connect outcomes to specific interventions and external events
  • Own data interfaces and SLOs across DS schemas; ensure privacy-by-design data paths and auditable method notes
  • Build automated systems and pipelines to clean and organize unstructured data from disparate sources
  • Act as the single analytics entry point with cross-functional partners across our Safety Systems, Data Science, Integrity, Product, and Policy teams; resolve definitions, standards, and timelines

Other

  • Build and lead the team; mentor experienced ICs; foster an inclusive, principled, high-standards culture
  • This role is based in San Francisco, CA (hybrid, 3 days/week).
  • Relocation support is available.
  • communicate crisply to executives and engineers
  • have led multiple complex workstreams and mentored senior peers